Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 14Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Santa Fe
7th · 29 pts2–1FULL TIME
Bucaramanga
13th · 23 pts42% Santa
27% Draw
32% Bucaramanga
OUR PICK
Santa Fe to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.41
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.41X3.7223.17
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Santa FeBucaramanga1.5Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.53Points per game1.21
37%Win rate26%
7Goal difference6
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Santa Fe form
LWWLDA Atletico Nacional2–0
H Bucaramanga2–1
H Jaguares2–1
A Llaneros1–0
H Fortaleza FC2–2
Bucaramanga form
WLLDDH Deportivo Pasto2–1
A Santa Fe2–1
A Chico1–0
H America de Cali1–1
H Águilas Doradas1–1
Head to head
2
Santa
1
Draw
2
Bucaramanga
Oct 2026Santa Fe – Bucaramanga2–1
Mar 2026Bucaramanga – Santa Fe1–2
Dec 2025Santa Fe – Bucaramanga0–0
Nov 2025Bucaramanga – Santa Fe1–0
Aug 2025Bucaramanga – Santa Fe2–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Santa Fe slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.35 for Santa Fe, 1.14 for Bucaramanga), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Santa Fe sit 7th on 29 points; Bucaramanga are 13th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.