SoccerVistaPredict
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2nd · 29 pts
4–0FULL TIME

Shimizu S-pulse

13th · 14 pts
77% Sanfrecce
15% Draw
7% Shimizu
OUR PICK
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Model probability 77% · fair odds
1.29
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.59
Confidence
Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X211.29X6.52213.49
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.68

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
60%
Double chance@1.08
1X
93%

Season stats

Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
2.5Goals per game0.8
0.8Conceded per game1.7
2.23Points per game1.08
69%Win rate31%
22Goal difference-12
12Form, last 5 (pts)4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

WLWLW
A Mito Hollyhock0–3
A Yokohama F. Marinos4–3
H Shimizu S-pulse4–0
A V-varen Nagasaki4–0
H Kyoto Sanga3–0

Shimizu S-pulse form

LLLDL
A Kyoto Sanga2–0
A Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
H Machida Zelvia0–5
H Gamba Osaka2–2
A Yokohama F. Marinos2–1

Head to head

2
Sanfrecce
2
Draw
1
Shimizu
Oct 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Shimizu S-pulse4–0
Apr 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Shimizu S-pulse1–1
Mar 2026Shimizu S-pulse – Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–1
Aug 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Shimizu S-pulse0–0
Aug 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Shimizu S-pulse3–0

J1 League table

#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616

Match preview

Our model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.38 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 0.59 for Shimizu S-pulse), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 2nd on 29 points; Shimizu S-pulse are 13th on 14.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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