Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
84%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 30Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Jernvallen
Sandviken
9th · 38 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
United Nordic
8th · 42 pts53% Sandviken
22% Draw
25% United
OUR PICK
Sandviken to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.30
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.5423.93
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
62%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
SandvikenUnited Nordic1.6Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.7
1.31Points per game1.45
34%Win rate38%
5Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Sandviken form
LWDLWA Falkenbergs FF2–1
A IFK Varnamo0–1
H Ostersunds FK0–0
A Landskrona BoIS3–2
H GIF Sundsvall1–0
United Nordic form
WLWLDH GIF Sundsvall4–2
A Ostersunds FK4–1
H Norrby IF2–1
A Oddevold2–0
A Orebro SK1–1
Head to head
2
Sandviken
0
Draw
1
United
Apr 2026United Nordic – Sandviken2–1
Aug 2023Sandviken – United Nordic3–1
Apr 2023United Nordic – Sandviken1–2
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Sandviken slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.95 for Sandviken, 1.30 for United Nordic), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sandviken sit 9th on 38 points; United Nordic are 8th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.