Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 27Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Jernvallens Arena
Sandviken
9th · 38 pts0–0FULL TIME
Ostersunds FK
4th · 48 pts40% Sandviken
27% Draw
33% Ostersunds
OUR PICK
Sandviken to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.19
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.52X3.7222.99
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
SandvikenOstersunds FK1.6Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game1.0
1.31Points per game1.66
34%Win rate41%
5Goal difference9
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Sandviken form
LWDLWA Falkenbergs FF2–1
A IFK Varnamo0–1
H Ostersunds FK0–0
A Landskrona BoIS3–2
H GIF Sundsvall1–0
Ostersunds FK form
LWDDLA IFK Norrkoping3–0
H United Nordic4–1
A Sandviken0–0
H Varbergs BoIS FC1–1
A Rosenborg2–0
Head to head
2
Sandviken
2
Draw
1
Ostersunds
Oct 2026Sandviken – Ostersunds FK0–0
May 2026Ostersunds FK – Sandviken2–1
Nov 2025Sandviken – Ostersunds FK5–0
May 2025Ostersunds FK – Sandviken2–2
Oct 2024Sandviken – Ostersunds FK3–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sandviken 40%, the draw 27%, Ostersunds FK 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.32 for Sandviken, 1.19 for Ostersunds FK), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sandviken sit 9th on 38 points; Ostersunds FK are 4th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.