Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 26Saturday, 31 October 2026
Sandviken
11th · 27 pts0–0FULL TIME
Bjarg
2nd · 54 pts18% Sandviken
19% Draw
63% Bjarg
OUR PICK
Bjarg to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.22 – 2.37
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.43X5.3221.59
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.23
X2
82%
Season stats
SandvikenBjarg1.3Goals per game2.3
1.9Conceded per game1.2
1.04Points per game2.08
27%Win rate65%
-15Goal difference29
5Form, last 5 (pts)13
Sandviken form
DDLLWH Bjarg0–0
A Pors Grenland0–0
H Mjondalen1–3
A Træff1–0
H Arendal1–0
Bjarg form
DWWWWA Sandviken0–0
H jerv4–0
A Brattvåg1–4
H Notodden5–2
A Kvik Halden2–3
Head to head
1
Sandviken
2
Draw
2
Bjarg
Oct 2026Sandviken – Bjarg0–0
Apr 2026Bjarg – Sandviken3–1
Feb 2026Sandviken – Bjarg1–2
Sept 2024Sandviken – Bjarg2–1
May 2024Bjarg – Sandviken1–1
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Bjarg clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.22 for Sandviken, 2.37 for Bjarg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sandviken sit 11th on 27 points; Bjarg are 2nd on 54.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.