Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 22Sunday, 4 October 2026
Sandviken
11th · 27 pts1–0FULL TIME
Arendal
9th · 31 pts38% Sandviken
24% Draw
38% Arendal
OUR PICK
Sandviken to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.64X4.1322.64
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
SandvikenArendal1.3Goals per game1.4
1.9Conceded per game1.6
1.04Points per game1.19
27%Win rate31%
-15Goal difference-6
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Sandviken form
DDLLWH Bjarg0–0
A Pors Grenland0–0
H Mjondalen1–3
A Træff1–0
H Arendal1–0
Arendal form
LDWDLH Mjondalen1–2
A Træff0–0
H Eik-Tønsberg3–0
A jerv2–2
A Sandviken1–0
Head to head
1
Sandviken
2
Draw
1
Arendal
Oct 2026Sandviken – Arendal1–0
May 2026Arendal – Sandviken0–0
Jul 2025Arendal – Sandviken6–1
Jun 2025Sandviken – Arendal1–1
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sandviken 38%, the draw 24%, Arendal 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.51 for Sandviken, 1.51 for Arendal), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sandviken sit 11th on 27 points; Arendal are 9th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.