Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 28Sunday, 25 October 2026
Sandnes ULF
13th · 29 pts2–1FULL TIME
Lyn
11th · 31 pts45% Sandnes
23% Draw
32% Lyn
OUR PICK
Sandnes ULF to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.46
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.23X4.3323.12
Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Sandnes ULFLyn1.4Goals per game1.5
2.0Conceded per game2.1
1.04Points per game1.11
29%Win rate32%
-16Goal difference-17
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Sandnes ULF form
WLLDDH Lyn2–1
A Kongsvinger4–0
A Stabaek4–1
H Haugesund1–1
A Strommen3–3
Lyn form
WLWLLA Tromsdalen Uil1–3
A Sandnes ULF2–1
H Moss1–0
A Haugesund3–0
H Stromsgodset1–5
Head to head
2
Sandnes
0
Draw
2
Lyn
Oct 2026Sandnes ULF – Lyn2–1
Apr 2026Lyn – Sandnes ULF0–2
Oct 2024Sandnes ULF – Lyn0–1
May 2024Lyn – Sandnes ULF5–0
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund28+3462
2Stromsgodset28+4260
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb28+1145
6Bryne28-140
7Ranheim28+338
8hodd28-738
9Strommen28-1036
10Egersund28-1135
Match preview
Our model makes Sandnes ULF slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.76 for Sandnes ULF, 1.46 for Lyn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sandnes ULF sit 13th on 29 points; Lyn are 11th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.