Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
92%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 25Sunday, 11 October 2026
Sandnes ULF
13th · 30 pts1–1FULL TIME
Haugesund
1st · 65 pts21% Sandnes
18% Draw
62% Haugesund
OUR PICK
Haugesund to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.68
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.87X5.6721.62
Goals 2.5Over1.27Under4.49
Both scoreGG1.37NG3.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.27
Over 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.37
GG
73%
Double chance@1.21
12
82%
Season stats
Sandnes ULFHaugesund1.4Goals per game2.9
2.0Conceded per game1.7
1.03Points per game2.24
28%Win rate72%
-16Goal difference36
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Sandnes ULF form
DWLLDA ODD Ballklubb3–3
H Lyn2–1
A Kongsvinger4–0
A Stabaek4–1
H Haugesund1–1
Haugesund form
WLWLWA Asane1–3
A Tromso3–2
H hodd3–2
A Stromsgodset5–0
H Lyn3–0
Head to head
0
Sandnes
2
Draw
3
Haugesund
Oct 2026Sandnes ULF – Haugesund1–1
May 2026Haugesund – Sandnes ULF2–0
Mar 2026Sandnes ULF – Haugesund2–2
Feb 2024Sandnes ULF – Haugesund0–6
Mar 2023Sandnes ULF – Haugesund0–3
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Haugesund clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (1.53 for Sandnes ULF, 2.68 for Haugesund), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sandnes ULF sit 13th on 30 points; Haugesund are 1st on 65.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.