Over 1.5 goals@2.16
Over 1.5
46%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 36Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
San Telmo
11th · 41 pts1–0FULL TIME
Central Norte
15th · 38 pts37% San
36% Draw
27% Central
OUR PICK
San Telmo to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.68
Expected goals
0.87 – 0.69
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.68X2.8023.71
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.41
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.41
NG
71%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
San TelmoCentral Norte0.8Goals per game0.6
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.14Points per game1.06
28%Win rate19%
-11Goal difference-9
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
San Telmo form
No recent matches.
Central Norte form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
San
0
Draw
0
Central
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes San Telmo slight favourites, giving them a 37% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.87 for San Telmo, 0.69 for Central Norte), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
San Telmo sit 11th on 41 points; Central Norte are 15th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.