Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
65%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 36Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
San Miguel
18th · 33 pts0–1FULL TIME
Deportivo Madryn
4th · 60 pts20% San
27% Draw
54% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Deportivo Madryn to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.46
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.06X3.7521.87
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.25
X2
80%
Season stats
San MiguelDeportivo Madryn0.8Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game0.9
0.92Points per game1.67
17%Win rate44%
-15Goal difference21
2Form, last 5 (pts)10
San Miguel form
No recent matches.
Deportivo Madryn form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
San
0
Draw
0
Deportivo
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Madryn clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.77 for San Miguel, 1.46 for Deportivo Madryn), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
San Miguel sit 18th on 33 points; Deportivo Madryn are 4th on 60.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.