Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Avaya Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes
3rd · 52 pts2–1FULL TIME
Real Salt Lake
10th · 42 pts49% San
23% Draw
27% Real
OUR PICK
San Jose Earthquakes to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.28
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.02X4.3123.64
Goals 2.5Over1.69Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
San Jose EarthquakesReal Salt Lake1.7Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.58Points per game1.27
42%Win rate36%
8Goal difference0
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
San Jose Earthquakes form
No recent matches.
Real Salt Lake form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
San
0
Draw
0
Real
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes San Jose Earthquakes slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.79 for San Jose Earthquakes, 1.28 for Real Salt Lake), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
San Jose Earthquakes sit 3rd on 52 points; Real Salt Lake are 10th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.