USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 32Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Avaya Stadium

San Jose Earthquakes

3rd · 52 pts

2–2FULL TIME

Colorado Rapids

9th · 43 pts

50% San

24% Draw

26% Colorado

OUR PICK

San Jose Earthquakes to win

Model probability 50% · fair odds

2.01

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.13

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.01X4.1123.86

Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01

Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.30

Over 1.5

77%

Over/Under 2.5@1.89

Over 2.5

53%

Both teams to score@1.82

55%

Double chance@1.32

76%

Season stats

San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids

1.7Goals per game1.4

1.5Conceded per game1.4

1.58Points per game1.30

42%Win rate36%

8Goal difference-1

6Form, last 5 (pts)6

San Jose Earthquakes form

WDLDD

H Real Salt Lake2–1

H Colorado Rapids2–2

A FC Dallas3–0

H Nashville SC1–1

A Real Salt Lake1–1

Colorado Rapids form

LDWDD

H Chicago Fire2–4

A San Jose Earthquakes2–2

H Vancouver Whitecaps1–0

A Portland Timbers0–0

H Minnesota United FC2–2

Head to head

San

Draw

Colorado

These sides haven't met recently.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861

2FC Dallas33+955

3San Jose Earthquakes33+852

4St. Louis City33+1051

5Houston Dynamo33+151

6Los Angeles FC33+1347

7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644

8Portland Timbers33-143

9Colorado Rapids33-143

10Seattle Sounders33-343

Match preview

Our model makes San Jose Earthquakes slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.66 for San Jose Earthquakes, 1.13 for Colorado Rapids), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

San Jose Earthquakes sit 3rd on 52 points; Colorado Rapids are 9th on 43.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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