Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego
13th · 38 pts01:00KICK-OFF WAT
Sporting Kansas City
15th · 23 pts69% San
16% Draw
15% Sporting
OUR PICK
San Diego to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
2.79 – 1.25
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.44X6.2626.78
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
San DiegoSporting Kansas City1.7Goals per game1.2
1.9Conceded per game2.5
1.15Points per game0.70
27%Win rate18%
-5Goal difference-42
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
San Diego form
WLDDDA St. Louis City0–1
A Vancouver Whitecaps4–1
H Seattle Sounders2–2
A Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
H Houston Dynamo3–3
Sporting Kansas City form
DLLLLH FC Dallas1–1
A Minnesota United FC3–1
H Austin1–2
H Real Salt Lake1–3
A Nashville SC4–0
Head to head
2
San
1
Draw
0
Sporting
Mar 2026Sporting Kansas City – San Diego0–1
Aug 2025Sporting Kansas City – San Diego0–2
May 2025San Diego – Sporting Kansas City0–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes San Diego clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.79 for San Diego, 1.25 for Sporting Kansas City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
San Diego sit 13th on 38 points; Sporting Kansas City are 15th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.