Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 31Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego
13th · 38 pts2–2FULL TIME
Seattle Sounders
10th · 43 pts45% San
24% Draw
31% Seattle
OUR PICK
San Diego to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.31
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.24X4.1123.23
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
San DiegoSeattle Sounders1.7Goals per game1.3
1.9Conceded per game1.4
1.15Points per game1.30
27%Win rate33%
-5Goal difference-3
6Form, last 5 (pts)2
San Diego form
WLDDDA St. Louis City0–1
A Vancouver Whitecaps4–1
H Seattle Sounders2–2
A Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
H Houston Dynamo3–3
Seattle Sounders form
LLDDLA Vancouver Whitecaps5–1
H Houston Dynamo0–1
A San Diego2–2
H CF Montreal1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
Head to head
1
San
2
Draw
1
Seattle
Oct 2026San Diego – Seattle Sounders2–2
May 2026Seattle Sounders – San Diego1–1
May 2025Seattle Sounders – San Diego1–0
Apr 2025San Diego – Seattle Sounders3–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes San Diego slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.62 for San Diego, 1.31 for Seattle Sounders), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
San Diego sit 13th on 38 points; Seattle Sounders are 10th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.