Over 1.5 goals@1.49
Over 1.5
67%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSunday, 25 October 2026 · Toyota Field
San Antonio
2–1FULL TIME
Orange County SC
49% San
27% Draw
24% Orange
OUR PICK
San Antonio to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.90
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.05X3.6924.16
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
San Antonio form
LWWDLA El Paso Locomotive2–1
H Orange County SC2–1
H New Mexico United1–0
A Oakland Roots0–0
A Las Vegas Lights1–0
Orange County SC form
LLLLWA San Antonio2–1
H Phoenix Rising1–3
A El Paso Locomotive2–1
H Monterey Bay1–2
H Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
Head to head
2
San
0
Draw
3
Orange
Oct 2026San Antonio – Orange County SC2–1
Apr 2026Orange County SC – San Antonio2–0
Oct 2025Orange County SC – San Antonio1–0
Sept 2025San Antonio – Orange County SC3–1
Jul 2024Orange County SC – San Antonio2–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes San Antonio slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.41 for San Antonio, 0.90 for Orange County SC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.