Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Samsunspor
17th · 4 pts0–3FULL TIME
Trabzonspor
3rd · 22 pts11% Samsunspor
15% Draw
74% Trabzonspor
OUR PICK
Trabzonspor to win
Model probability 74% · fair odds
1.35
Expected goals
0.99 – 2.76
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X219.12X6.7321.35
Goals 2.5Over1.39Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.12
X2
89%
Season stats
SamsunsporTrabzonspor1.0Goals per game2.4
2.6Conceded per game0.8
0.40Points per game2.20
10%Win rate70%
-16Goal difference16
0Form, last 5 (pts)15
Samsunspor form
LLLLLA Başakşehir5–2
H Amed1–2
A Kasımpaşa4–1
H Trabzonspor0–3
A Erzurumspor FK1–0
Trabzonspor form
WWWWWH Gaziantep FK2–0
A Rizespor3–4
H Heart Of Midlothian2–0
H Beşiktaş2–0
A KuPS2–4
Head to head
0
Samsunspor
3
Draw
2
Trabzonspor
Oct 2026Samsunspor – Trabzonspor0–3
Apr 2026Samsunspor – Trabzonspor0–0
Feb 2026Samsunspor – Trabzonspor0–3
Aug 2025Trabzonspor – Samsunspor1–1
May 2025Trabzonspor – Samsunspor2–2
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Trabzonspor clear favourites, giving them a 74% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (0.99 for Samsunspor, 2.76 for Trabzonspor), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Samsunspor sit 17th on 4 points; Trabzonspor are 3rd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.