Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
68%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Samsunspor
17th · 4 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Konyaspor
15th · 8 pts36% Samsunspor
28% Draw
36% Konyaspor
OUR PICK
Konyaspor to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.76
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.17
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X3.5522.76
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.70
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.90
NG
53%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
SamsunsporKonyaspor1.0Goals per game0.6
2.6Conceded per game1.3
0.40Points per game0.80
10%Win rate20%
-16Goal difference-7
0Form, last 5 (pts)5
Samsunspor form
LLLLLA Başakşehir5–2
H Amed1–2
A Kasımpaşa4–1
H Trabzonspor0–3
A Erzurumspor FK1–0
Konyaspor form
LWLDDH Galatasaray0–4
H Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–0
A Amed1–0
H Başakşehir0–0
H Palestine2–2
Head to head
2
Samsunspor
1
Draw
2
Konyaspor
Apr 2026Samsunspor – Konyaspor2–2
Nov 2025Konyaspor – Samsunspor1–3
Feb 2025Konyaspor – Samsunspor0–1
Sept 2024Samsunspor – Konyaspor0–1
May 2024Konyaspor – Samsunspor3–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Samsunspor 36%, the draw 28%, Konyaspor 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.16 for Samsunspor, 1.17 for Konyaspor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Samsunspor sit 17th on 4 points; Konyaspor are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.