Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Samsunspor
17th · 4 pts1–2FULL TIME
Amed
2nd · 23 pts10% Samsunspor
13% Draw
77% Amed
OUR PICK
Amed to win
Model probability 77% · fair odds
1.30
Expected goals
1.06 – 3.06
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X2110.08X7.5521.30
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.61NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.61
GG
62%
Double chance@1.11
X2
90%
Season stats
SamsunsporAmed1.0Goals per game2.5
2.6Conceded per game1.1
0.40Points per game2.30
10%Win rate70%
-16Goal difference14
0Form, last 5 (pts)13
Samsunspor form
LLLLLA Başakşehir5–2
H Amed1–2
A Kasımpaşa4–1
H Trabzonspor0–3
A Erzurumspor FK1–0
Amed form
WWWDWH Eyüpspor5–1
A Samsunspor1–2
H Konyaspor1–0
A Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–2
H Beşiktaş3–2
Head to head
2
Samsunspor
1
Draw
2
Amed
Oct 2026Samsunspor – Amed1–2
Feb 2020Samsunspor – Amed3–0
Oct 2019Amed – Samsunspor0–0
Jan 2019Amed – Samsunspor3–2
Sept 2018Samsunspor – Amed1–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Amed clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (1.06 for Samsunspor, 3.06 for Amed), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Samsunspor sit 17th on 4 points; Amed are 2nd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.