Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Luigi Ferraris
Sampdoria
18th · 8 pts2–0FULL TIME
Virtus Entella
13th · 10 pts32% Sampdoria
27% Draw
40% Virtus
OUR PICK
Virtus Entella to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.31
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.09X3.6822.47
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
SampdoriaVirtus Entella1.0Goals per game1.1
1.8Conceded per game1.2
0.80Points per game1.00
20%Win rate20%
-8Goal difference-1
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Sampdoria form
No recent matches.
Virtus Entella form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Sampdoria
0
Draw
0
Virtus
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sampdoria 32%, the draw 27%, Virtus Entella 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.14 for Sampdoria, 1.31 for Virtus Entella), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sampdoria sit 18th on 8 points; Virtus Entella are 13th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.