Over 1.5 goals@1.86
Over 1.5
54%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Samartex Park
Samartex
2nd · 18 pts2–1FULL TIME
Medeama
1st · 18 pts35% Samartex
33% Draw
32% Medeama
OUR PICK
Samartex to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.89
Expected goals
0.92 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.89X3.0423.08
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.37
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.48
1X
68%
Season stats
SamartexMedeama1.1Goals per game1.7
0.6Conceded per game0.9
2.00Points per game2.00
56%Win rate56%
5Goal difference7
10Form, last 5 (pts)10
Samartex form
DWLWA Berekum Chelsea0–0
H Medeama2–1
A Ashanti Gold1–0
H Young Apostles1–0
Medeama form
DWLWWA Asante Kotoko1–1
H Aduana Stars1–0
A Samartex2–1
H Heart of Lions3–1
A Debibi United0–1
Head to head
2
Samartex
3
Draw
0
Medeama
Oct 2026Samartex – Medeama2–1
Feb 2026Samartex – Medeama0–0
Feb 2026Medeama – Samartex0–0
Oct 2025Medeama – Samartex1–1
Mar 2025Samartex – Medeama2–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Samartex 35%, the draw 33%, Medeama 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.92 for Samartex, 0.88 for Medeama), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Samartex sit 2nd on 18 points; Medeama are 1st on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.