Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Samartex Park
Samartex
4th · 15 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Bibiani Gold Stars
12th · 10 pts51% Samartex
29% Draw
19% Bibiani
OUR PICK
Samartex to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.66
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X3.4125.21
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
SamartexBibiani Gold Stars1.1Goals per game1.0
0.6Conceded per game1.1
1.88Points per game1.25
50%Win rate38%
4Goal difference-1
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Samartex form
DWLWDA Berekum Chelsea0–0
H Medeama2–1
A Ashanti Gold1–0
H Young Apostles1–0
A Swedru All Blacks1–1
Bibiani Gold Stars form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Samartex
0
Draw
0
Bibiani
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama8+717
2Hearts of Oak8+717
3Port City9+415
4Samartex8+415
5Swedru All Blacks8+314
6Bechem United8+213
7Aduana Stars8+213
8Basake Holy Stars8-312
9Asante Kotoko8012
10Berekum Chelsea8+111
Match preview
Our model makes Samartex clear favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.28 for Samartex, 0.66 for Bibiani Gold Stars), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Samartex sit 4th on 15 points; Bibiani Gold Stars are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.