Over 1.5 goals@1.86
Over 1.5
54%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Moor Lane
Salford City
1st · 31 pts2–1FULL TIME
Exeter City
12th · 19 pts46% Salford
32% Draw
22% Exeter
OUR PICK
Salford City to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.12 – 0.68
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.1524.50
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.37
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.50
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.50
NG
67%
Double chance@1.29
1X
78%
Season stats
Salford CityExeter City1.8Goals per game0.8
1.1Conceded per game0.6
2.21Points per game1.36
71%Win rate36%
10Goal difference2
15Form, last 5 (pts)10
Salford City form
No recent matches.
Exeter City form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Salford
0
Draw
0
Exeter
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Salford City slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.12 for Salford City, 0.68 for Exeter City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Salford City sit 1st on 31 points; Exeter City are 12th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.