Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Saint Etienne
1st · 25 pts2–0FULL TIME
Rodez
11th · 13 pts70% Saint
16% Draw
14% Rodez
OUR PICK
Saint Etienne to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.42
Expected goals
2.86 – 1.25
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.42X6.4527.08
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
Saint EtienneRodez2.1Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game2.0
2.27Points per game1.18
73%Win rate36%
12Goal difference-5
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Saint Etienne form
LWWWWA Guingamp3–0
H Nantes1–0
A RED Star FC 930–1
H Rodez2–0
H FC Sion5–1
Rodez form
WWLLWH Dunkerque1–0
A Dijon1–2
H Montpellier0–3
A Saint Etienne2–0
H Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0
Head to head
3
Saint
1
Draw
1
Rodez
Oct 2026Saint Etienne – Rodez2–0
May 2026Saint Etienne – Rodez0–0
May 2026Rodez – Saint Etienne2–1
Aug 2025Saint Etienne – Rodez4–0
May 2024Saint Etienne – Rodez2–0
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Saint Etienne clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.86 for Saint Etienne, 1.25 for Rodez), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Saint Etienne sit 1st on 25 points; Rodez are 11th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.