Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 13Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Sagan Tosu
13th · 17 pts2–0FULL TIME
Vanraure Hachinohe
17th · 14 pts50% Sagan
27% Draw
23% Vanraure
OUR PICK
Sagan Tosu to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.01
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.86
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.01X3.6724.36
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
56%
Double chance@1.30
1X
77%
Season stats
Sagan TosuVanraure Hachinohe1.0Goals per game0.8
1.2Conceded per game1.7
1.21Points per game1.00
36%Win rate29%
-3Goal difference-13
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Sagan Tosu form
WLLWLA Shonan Bellmare0–1
A Jubilo Iwata2–0
H Kawasaki Frontale0–2
H Vanraure Hachinohe2–0
A Albirex Niigata2–1
Vanraure Hachinohe form
LLLWDA Oita Trinita1–0
H Montedio Yamagata1–2
A Sagan Tosu2–0
A Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Imabari3–3
Head to head
1
Sagan
0
Draw
0
Vanraure
Oct 2026Sagan Tosu – Vanraure Hachinohe2–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Sagan Tosu slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.41 for Sagan Tosu, 0.86 for Vanraure Hachinohe), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sagan Tosu sit 13th on 17 points; Vanraure Hachinohe are 17th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.