Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Sagan Tosu
13th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Fujieda MYFC
15th · 16 pts33% Sagan
29% Draw
37% Fujieda
OUR PICK
Fujieda MYFC to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.67
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.00X3.4222.67
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.79
NG
56%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
Sagan TosuFujieda MYFC1.0Goals per game1.1
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.21Points per game1.14
36%Win rate21%
-3Goal difference1
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Sagan Tosu form
LLWLWA Jubilo Iwata2–0
H Kawasaki Frontale0–2
H Vanraure Hachinohe2–0
A Albirex Niigata2–1
H Omiya Ardija2–1
Fujieda MYFC form
DLDDLA Blaublitz Akita1–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Tochigi City2–2
H Montedio Yamagata0–0
A Sagan Tosu1–0
Head to head
2
Sagan
1
Draw
0
Fujieda
Oct 2026Sagan Tosu – Fujieda MYFC1–0
Nov 2025Fujieda MYFC – Sagan Tosu0–0
Apr 2025Sagan Tosu – Fujieda MYFC1–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sagan Tosu 33%, the draw 29%, Fujieda MYFC 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.05 for Sagan Tosu, 1.13 for Fujieda MYFC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sagan Tosu sit 13th on 17 points; Fujieda MYFC are 15th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.