Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Baku Olympic Stadium
Sabah FA
25th · 3 pts1–2FULL TIME
Borussia Dortmund
13th · 6 pts40% Sabah
23% Draw
37% Borussia
OUR PICK
Sabah FA to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.64
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.50X4.3822.69
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Sabah FABorussia Dortmund1.0Goals per game1.7
2.0Conceded per game1.3
1.00Points per game2.00
33%Win rate67%
-3Goal difference1
6Form, last 5 (pts)6
Sabah FA form
LDLWWA Turan3–2
H Qarabag0–0
H Borussia Dortmund1–2
A Qabala0–4
H Slavia Praha2–0
Borussia Dortmund form
DWWWDA Bayern München2–2
H Werder Bremen3–2
H Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
A Sabah FA1–2
A Union Berlin0–0
Head to head
0
Sabah
0
Draw
1
Borussia
Oct 2026Sabah FA – Borussia Dortmund1–2
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sabah FA 40%, the draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.71 for Sabah FA, 1.64 for Borussia Dortmund), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sabah FA sit 25th on 3 points; Borussia Dortmund are 13th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.