Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 8Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta
Sabadell
10th · 17 pts0–0FULL TIME
FC Andorra
20th · 10 pts54% Sabadell
24% Draw
23% FC
OUR PICK
Sabadell to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.05
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.87X4.2224.38
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.87NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.87
GG
54%
Double chance@1.30
1X
77%
Season stats
SabadellFC Andorra1.0Goals per game1.4
0.9Conceded per game1.8
1.42Points per game0.91
33%Win rate27%
1Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
Sabadell form
LDLWDA Albacete2–1
H Tenerife1–1
A Burgos1–0
A AD Ceuta FC1–2
H FC Andorra0–0
FC Andorra form
DWLLWA Tenerife2–2
A Varea0–3
H Burgos2–3
A Girona2–0
H Castellón1–0
Head to head
0
Sabadell
2
Draw
3
FC
Oct 2026Sabadell – FC Andorra0–0
Aug 2026FC Andorra – Sabadell0–0
Apr 2022FC Andorra – Sabadell2–1
Nov 2021Sabadell – FC Andorra0–1
Aug 2020Sabadell – FC Andorra0–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Sabadell clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.74 for Sabadell, 1.05 for FC Andorra), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sabadell sit 10th on 17 points; FC Andorra are 20th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.