Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
BRASerie B · Matchday 31Friday, 2 October 2026 · Estadio Primeiro de Maio
São Bernardo
10th · 52 pts3–1FULL TIME
CRB
6th · 55 pts49% São
23% Draw
28% CRB
OUR PICK
São Bernardo to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.26
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.05X4.2623.62
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
São BernardoCRB1.4Goals per game1.5
1.1Conceded per game1.4
1.44Points per game1.53
39%Win rate44%
11Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
São Bernardo form
WWLDLA Cuiaba1–2
H Vila Nova3–2
H Criciuma0–1
A Juventude2–2
A Sport Recife2–1
CRB form
LWLDWA Goias2–1
H Londrina2–1
H Botafogo SP0–1
A Fortaleza EC2–2
H Atletico Goianiense3–1
Head to head
2
São
0
Draw
0
CRB
Oct 2026São Bernardo – CRB3–1
Jun 2026CRB – São Bernardo2–3
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes São Bernardo slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.75 for São Bernardo, 1.26 for CRB), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
São Bernardo sit 10th on 52 points; CRB are 6th on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.