Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
Rot-Weiß Essen
3rd · 24 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Alemannia Aachen
5th · 20 pts53% Rot-Weiß
24% Draw
23% Alemannia
OUR PICK
Rot-Weiß Essen to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.06
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X4.2224.34
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.30
1X
77%
Season stats
Rot-Weiß EssenAlemannia Aachen1.7Goals per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game1.67
58%Win rate50%
7Goal difference1
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Rot-Weiß Essen form
LWLWDH RB Leipzig1–2
H SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0
A FC Ingolstadt 041–0
H Fortuna Köln2–0
A Preußen Münster3–3
Alemannia Aachen form
WWWLLH Preußen Münster2–1
A Stuttgart II1–2
H Hansa Rostock2–0
A SV Wehen3–0
H FC Viktoria Köln2–5
Head to head
1
Rot-Weiß
1
Draw
3
Alemannia
Feb 2026Alemannia Aachen – Rot-Weiß Essen3–3
Aug 2025Rot-Weiß Essen – Alemannia Aachen2–3
Jan 2025Alemannia Aachen – Rot-Weiß Essen2–0
Aug 2024Rot-Weiß Essen – Alemannia Aachen1–2
Jul 2022Alemannia Aachen – Rot-weiss Essen1–3
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Rot-Weiß Essen slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.74 for Rot-Weiß Essen, 1.06 for Alemannia Aachen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd on 24 points; Alemannia Aachen are 5th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.