Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 23Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Lerkendal Stadion
Rosenborg
4th · 43 pts1–1FULL TIME
Sandefjord
12th · 27 pts63% Rosenborg
22% Draw
15% Sandefjord
OUR PICK
Rosenborg to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.80
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.58X4.6226.56
Goals 2.5Over1.99Under1.89
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
RosenborgSandefjord2.0Goals per game1.0
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.72Points per game1.08
52%Win rate28%
18Goal difference-8
13Form, last 5 (pts)7
Rosenborg form
WLWWDA Fredrikstad0–3
H Ham-Kam1–2
A Ham-Kam0–3
A Sarpsborg 08 FF0–3
H Sandefjord1–1
Sandefjord form
WLLLDA Aalesund3–4
A ODD Ballklubb3–1
A Start1–0
H Lillestrom0–2
A Rosenborg1–1
Head to head
1
Rosenborg
3
Draw
1
Sandefjord
Oct 2026Rosenborg – Sandefjord1–1
Apr 2026Sandefjord – Rosenborg0–0
Oct 2025Rosenborg – Sandefjord1–1
Jul 2025Sandefjord – Rosenborg2–0
Sept 2024Sandefjord – Rosenborg0–1
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Rosenborg clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.89 for Rosenborg, 0.80 for Sandefjord), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rosenborg sit 4th on 43 points; Sandefjord are 12th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.