Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
69%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Rosario Central
5–0FULL TIME
Independ. Rivadavia
19% Rosario
25% Draw
56% Independ.
OUR PICK
Independ. Rivadavia to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.60
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.29X4.0021.78
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
56%
Double chance@1.23
X2
81%
Rosario Central form
WWWWDA Sarmiento Junin1–2
H Huracan2–0
A Atletico Tucuman2–3
H Independ. Rivadavia5–0
A Banfield1–1
Independ. Rivadavia form
LDLDWA Argentinos JRS1–0
H Tigre2–2
A Rosario Central5–0
H Gimnasia L.P.1–1
A Barracas Central0–1
Head to head
3
Rosario
1
Draw
1
Independ.
Oct 2026Rosario Central – Independ. Rivadavia5–0
Mar 2026Independ. Rivadavia – Rosario Central2–0
Nov 2024Independ. Rivadavia – Rosario Central1–1
Feb 2024Rosario Central – Independ. Rivadavia1–0
Apr 2013Independ. Rivadavia – Rosario Central1–3
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Independ. Rivadavia clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.81 for Rosario Central, 1.60 for Independ. Rivadavia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.