Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
65%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Monday, 26 October 2026 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor
13th · 11 pts3–4FULL TIME
Trabzonspor
3rd · 22 pts16% Rizespor
25% Draw
59% Trabzonspor
OUR PICK
Trabzonspor to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
0.68 – 1.56
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.20X3.9521.71
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.19
X2
84%
Season stats
RizesporTrabzonspor1.1Goals per game2.4
1.5Conceded per game0.8
1.10Points per game2.20
30%Win rate70%
-4Goal difference16
2Form, last 5 (pts)15
Rizespor form
DLLLWA Kocaelispor0–0
H Trabzonspor3–4
A Çorum FK2–1
H Fenerbahçe0–3
H Boluspor3–0
Trabzonspor form
WWWWWH Gaziantep FK2–0
A Rizespor3–4
H Heart Of Midlothian2–0
H Beşiktaş2–0
A KuPS2–4
Head to head
0
Rizespor
0
Draw
5
Trabzonspor
Oct 2026Rizespor – Trabzonspor3–4
Mar 2026Trabzonspor – Rizespor1–0
Oct 2025Rizespor – Trabzonspor1–2
Apr 2025Trabzonspor – Rizespor2–0
Feb 2025Trabzonspor – Rizespor5–2
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Trabzonspor clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.68 for Rizespor, 1.56 for Trabzonspor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rizespor sit 13th on 11 points; Trabzonspor are 3rd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.