Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor
13th · 11 pts0–3FULL TIME
Fenerbahçe
6th · 16 pts27% Rizespor
24% Draw
49% Fenerbahçe
OUR PICK
Fenerbahçe to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.71
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.73X4.1922.03
Goals 2.5Over1.80Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
RizesporFenerbahçe1.1Goals per game2.4
1.5Conceded per game1.0
1.10Points per game1.60
30%Win rate50%
-4Goal difference14
2Form, last 5 (pts)9
Rizespor form
DLLLWA Kocaelispor0–0
H Trabzonspor3–4
A Çorum FK2–1
H Fenerbahçe0–3
H Boluspor3–0
Fenerbahçe form
LLDWLH Göztepe1–2
A Galatasaray2–1
H Slavia Praha2–2
H Alanyaspor3–0
A Aston Villa6–0
Head to head
0
Rizespor
1
Draw
4
Fenerbahçe
Oct 2026Rizespor – Fenerbahçe0–3
Apr 2026Fenerbahçe – Rizespor2–2
Nov 2025Rizespor – Fenerbahçe2–5
Feb 2025Fenerbahçe – Rizespor3–2
Aug 2024Rizespor – Fenerbahçe0–5
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Fenerbahçe slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.20 for Rizespor, 1.71 for Fenerbahçe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rizespor sit 13th on 11 points; Fenerbahçe are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.