Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026
Rizespor
13th · 11 pts11:30KICK-OFF WAT
Erzurumspor FK
11th · 14 pts46% Rizespor
28% Draw
26% Erzurumspor
OUR PICK
Rizespor to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.36 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.6423.78
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.36
1X
74%
Season stats
RizesporErzurumspor FK1.1Goals per game0.9
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.10Points per game1.40
30%Win rate40%
-4Goal difference-6
2Form, last 5 (pts)10
Rizespor form
DLLLWA Kocaelispor0–0
H Trabzonspor3–4
A Çorum FK2–1
H Fenerbahçe0–3
H Boluspor3–0
Erzurumspor FK form
LWWDWH Çorum FK1–3
A Gaziantep FK1–3
H Eyüpspor2–0
A Alanyaspor0–0
H Samsunspor1–0
Head to head
2
Rizespor
2
Draw
1
Erzurumspor
Jul 2026Erzurumspor FK – Rizespor0–0
Jan 2026Erzurumspor FK – Rizespor2–0
Apr 2023Erzurumspor FK – Rizespor1–1
Nov 2022Rizespor – Erzurumspor FK3–1
Jul 2022Erzurumspor FK – Rizespor2–3
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Rizespor slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.36 for Rizespor, 0.96 for Erzurumspor FK), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rizespor sit 13th on 11 points; Erzurumspor FK are 11th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.