Over 1.5 goals@1.55
Over 1.5
65%
NGANPFL · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Yakubu Gowon Stadium
Rivers United
1st · 17 pts1–1FULL TIME
Enugu Rangers
2nd · 17 pts54% Rivers
27% Draw
19% Enugu
OUR PICK
Rivers United to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.74
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X3.7425.27
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.23
1X
81%
Season stats
Rivers UnitedEnugu Rangers1.4Goals per game1.8
0.4Conceded per game1.1
1.70Points per game2.13
40%Win rate63%
10Goal difference5
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Rivers United form
No recent matches.
Enugu Rangers form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Rivers
0
Draw
0
Enugu
These sides haven't met recently.
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United10+1017
2Enugu Rangers8+517
3Nasarawa United10+317
4Barau FC11+316
5Niger Tornadoes11+116
6Plateau United10+415
7Bendel Insurance9+215
8Sporting Lagos9+215
9Kano Pillars10+115
10Doma United10015
Match preview
Our model makes Rivers United clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.46 for Rivers United, 0.74 for Enugu Rangers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rivers United sit 1st on 17 points; Enugu Rangers are 2nd on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.