Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14Sunday, 25 October 2026 · El Monumental
River Plate
1–0FULL TIME
Racing Club
50% River
28% Draw
22% Racing
OUR PICK
River Plate to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.01
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.82
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.01X3.6024.46
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.60
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.29
1X
78%
River Plate form
LWWDWA Boca Juniors1–0
H Racing Club1–0
A Belgrano Cordoba0–3
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0
Racing Club form
WLDLWH Aldosivi2–1
A River Plate1–0
H Independiente1–1
H Belgrano Cordoba0–2
A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–2
Head to head
3
River
0
Draw
2
Racing
Oct 2026River Plate – Racing Club1–0
Apr 2026Racing Club – River Plate0–2
Nov 2025Racing Club – River Plate3–2
Oct 2025Racing Club – River Plate0–1
Dec 2024Racing Club – River Plate1–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes River Plate slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.37 for River Plate, 0.82 for Racing Club), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.