Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
69%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Estadio Monumental
River Plate
1–0FULL TIME
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
78% River
17% Draw
5% Estudiantes
OUR PICK
River Plate to win
Model probability 78% · fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.35
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.28X5.97219.21
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG3.63NG1.35
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.35
NG
74%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
River Plate form
WWDWLH Racing Club1–0
A Belgrano Cordoba0–3
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0
H Huracan1–2
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto form
LLWLLH Gimnasia L.P.1–2
A Barracas Central2–1
H Aldosivi2–1
A River Plate1–0
H Racing Club1–2
Head to head
2
River
0
Draw
0
Estudiantes
Oct 2026River Plate – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0
Mar 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – River Plate0–2
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes River Plate clear favourites, giving them a 78% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (2.06 for River Plate, 0.35 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.