Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
87%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Innviertel Arena
Ried
6th · 16 pts19:30KICK-OFF WAT
Lask Linz
3rd · 22 pts30% Ried
22% Draw
48% Lask
OUR PICK
Lask Linz to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.09
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.97
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.29X4.5922.09
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
RiedLask Linz1.7Goals per game2.4
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.45Points per game2.00
36%Win rate64%
1Goal difference13
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Ried form
DLDWWA SCR Altach1–1
A Lask Linz5–4
A Sturm Graz2–2
H Austria Vienna3–2
A WSG Wattens1–2
Lask Linz form
WWLWWH WSG Wattens2–1
H Ried5–4
H Red Bull Salzburg1–3
A Sporting CP2–3
A Austria Lustenau0–4
Head to head
1
Ried
1
Draw
3
Lask
Oct 2026Lask Linz – Ried5–4
Aug 2026Lask Linz – Ried4–1
Mar 2026Ried – Lask Linz1–2
Feb 2026Ried – Lask Linz1–1
Aug 2025Lask Linz – Ried1–3
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes Lask Linz slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.09 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.54 for Ried, 1.97 for Lask Linz), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ried sit 6th on 16 points; Lask Linz are 3rd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.