Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 10Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Richards Bay Stadium (Umhlathuze)
Richards Bay
16th · 3 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Stellenbosch
8th · 10 pts29% Richards
24% Draw
47% Stellenbosch
OUR PICK
Stellenbosch to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.71
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.40X4.2222.13
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Richards BayStellenbosch1.2Goals per game1.0
2.6Conceded per game1.1
0.33Points per game1.11
0%Win rate22%
-12Goal difference-1
0Form, last 5 (pts)6
Richards Bay form
LLLLLA Kruger United3–1
A Sekhukhune United3–1
H Mamelodi Sundowns1–4
H Sekhukhune United2–3
A Milford FC5–1
Stellenbosch form
LWDWDH Chippa United0–2
A Durban City0–2
A Kaizer Chiefs1–1
A Kruger United0–1
H Sekhukhune United1–1
Head to head
3
Richards
2
Draw
0
Stellenbosch
Apr 2026Richards Bay – Stellenbosch2–1
Sept 2025Stellenbosch – Richards Bay0–1
Feb 2025Stellenbosch – Richards Bay1–1
Oct 2024Richards Bay – Stellenbosch0–0
May 2024Richards Bay – Stellenbosch2–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Stellenbosch slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.31 for Richards Bay, 1.71 for Stellenbosch), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Richards Bay sit 16th on 3 points; Stellenbosch are 8th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.