SoccerVistaPredict
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 17 October 2026 · Centreville Bank Stadium

Rhode Island

7th · 42 pts
1–1FULL TIME

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

5th · 45 pts
44% Rhode
30% Draw
26% Pittsburgh
OUR PICK
Rhode Island to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.85
Confidence
Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.25X3.3723.86
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.64
Over 1.5
61%
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%

Season stats

Rhode IslandPittsburgh Riverhounds
1.4Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.0
1.40Points per game1.50
40%Win rate43%
9Goal difference3
4Form, last 5 (pts)7

Rhode Island form

DLDWL
A Charleston Battery1–1
A Hartford Athletic2–1
H Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1
H Loudoun United1–0
A Detroit City1–0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds form

LWDWL
A Louisville City1–0
H Birmingham Legion2–1
A Rhode Island1–1
H Hartford Athletic2–1
A Orange County SC1–0

Head to head

2
Rhode
1
Draw
2
Pittsburgh
Oct 2026Rhode Island – Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1
Jul 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Rhode Island0–1
Nov 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Rhode Island1–0
Aug 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Rhode Island2–0
May 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Rhode Island0–1

USL Championship table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031

Match preview

Our model makes Rhode Island slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.21 for Rhode Island, 0.85 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th on 45.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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