Over 1.5 goals@1.04
Over 1.5
96%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Roazhon Park
Rennes
5th · 16 pts3–0FULL TIME
Strasbourg
12th · 10 pts45% Rennes
18% Draw
37% Strasbourg
OUR PICK
Rennes to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
2.60 – 2.36
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.23X5.4122.73
Goals 2.5Over1.15Under7.26
Both scoreGG1.19NG5.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.15
Over 2.5
87%
Both teams to score@1.19
GG
84%
Double chance@1.23
12
82%
Season stats
RennesStrasbourg2.2Goals per game1.9
2.1Conceded per game2.1
1.78Points per game1.11
56%Win rate33%
1Goal difference-2
6Form, last 5 (pts)3
Rennes form
LWDLWA Nice5–2
H Strasbourg3–0
A Juventus2–2
A Paris FC4–3
H OFI2–1
Strasbourg form
WLLLLH Auxerre5–1
A Rennes3–0
H Paris Saint Germain1–3
A Nice2–1
A Paris FC2–1
Head to head
4
Rennes
0
Draw
1
Strasbourg
Oct 2026Rennes – Strasbourg3–0
Apr 2026Strasbourg – Rennes0–3
Nov 2025Rennes – Strasbourg4–1
Feb 2025Rennes – Strasbourg1–0
Aug 2024Strasbourg – Rennes3–1
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Rennes 45%, the draw 18%, Strasbourg 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 5.0 goals in total (2.60 for Rennes, 2.36 for Strasbourg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rennes sit 5th on 16 points; Strasbourg are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.