Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Roazhon Park
Rennes
5th · 16 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Lille
2nd · 18 pts33% Rennes
24% Draw
42% Lille
OUR PICK
Lille to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.36
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.58
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.02X4.1022.36
Goals 2.5Over1.77Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
RennesLille2.2Goals per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game0.7
1.78Points per game2.00
56%Win rate56%
1Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Rennes form
LWDLWA Nice5–2
H Strasbourg3–0
A Juventus2–2
A Paris FC4–3
H OFI2–1
Lille form
WDLDLH Lens1–0
A Monaco1–1
H Galatasaray2–4
H Stade Brestois 291–1
A Arsenal3–0
Head to head
1
Rennes
1
Draw
3
Lille
Mar 2026Rennes – Lille1–2
Jan 2026Lille – Rennes0–2
Feb 2025Rennes – Lille0–2
Nov 2024Lille – Rennes1–0
Mar 2024Lille – Rennes2–2
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Stade Brestois 299+412
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Rennes 33%, the draw 24%, Lille 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.37 for Rennes, 1.58 for Lille), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rennes sit 5th on 16 points; Lille are 2nd on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.