Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
BRASerie A · Matchday 29Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Estadio Evandro Almeida
Remo
19th · 29 pts1–1FULL TIME
Gremio
15th · 37 pts39% Remo
27% Draw
34% Gremio
OUR PICK
Remo to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.18
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X3.6622.92
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
RemoGremio1.1Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.3
0.88Points per game1.12
18%Win rate27%
-15Goal difference-7
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Remo form
WLDDDH Botafogo2–1
A Cruzeiro1–0
H RB Bragantino1–1
A Vasco DA Gama0–0
H Gremio1–1
Gremio form
WWWLDH Atletico-MG2–0
H Atletico Paranaense2–0
A Coritiba0–1
H Cruzeiro2–4
H Internacional1–1
Head to head
0
Remo
2
Draw
0
Gremio
Oct 2026Remo – Gremio1–1
Apr 2026Gremio – Remo0–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Remo 39%, the draw 27%, Gremio 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.27 for Remo, 1.18 for Gremio), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Remo sit 19th on 29 points; Gremio are 15th on 37.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.