Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
BRASerie A · Matchday 33Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Estadio Evandro Almeida
Remo
19th · 29 pts2–1FULL TIME
Botafogo
12th · 39 pts38% Remo
25% Draw
37% Botafogo
OUR PICK
Remo to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.62
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.41
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.62X4.0022.72
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
RemoBotafogo1.1Goals per game1.4
1.5Conceded per game1.6
0.88Points per game1.18
18%Win rate30%
-15Goal difference-8
6Form, last 5 (pts)4
Remo form
WLDDDH Botafogo2–1
A Cruzeiro1–0
H RB Bragantino1–1
A Vasco DA Gama0–0
H Gremio1–1
Botafogo form
LLWDLA Remo2–1
A Internacional3–0
H Chapecoense-sc1–0
A Coritiba1–1
H Vasco DA Gama1–2
Head to head
2
Remo
0
Draw
2
Botafogo
Oct 2026Remo – Botafogo2–1
May 2026Botafogo – Remo1–2
Sept 2021Remo – Botafogo0–1
Jun 2021Botafogo – Remo3–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Remo 38%, the draw 25%, Botafogo 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.44 for Remo, 1.41 for Botafogo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Remo sit 19th on 29 points; Botafogo are 12th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.