Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
84%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stade Auguste-Delaune
Reims
4th · 21 pts4–2FULL TIME
Dijon
8th · 15 pts56% Reims
21% Draw
23% Dijon
OUR PICK
Reims to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.22
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.6824.43
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
ReimsDijon2.0Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game1.7
1.91Points per game1.36
45%Win rate36%
10Goal difference1
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Reims form
WDWDLH Sochaux2–0
A Boulogne1–1
H Dijon4–2
A Nantes0–0
A Anderlecht3–0
Dijon form
WLLWDA Grenoble1–3
H Rodez1–2
A Reims4–2
H Metz4–2
H Estac Troyes2–2
Head to head
2
Reims
2
Draw
1
Dijon
Oct 2026Reims – Dijon4–2
Mar 2021Dijon – Reims0–1
Jan 2021Reims – Dijon0–0
Sept 2019Reims – Dijon1–2
Mar 2019Dijon – Reims1–1
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3Nancy11+722
4Reims11+1021
5PAU11+520
6RED Star FC 9311-217
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Reims clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.03 for Reims, 1.22 for Dijon), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Reims sit 4th on 21 points; Dijon are 8th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.