Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Stade de Paris
RED Star FC 93
6th · 17 pts0–1FULL TIME
Saint Etienne
1st · 25 pts27% RED
22% Draw
50% Saint
OUR PICK
Saint Etienne to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.89
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.64X4.4622.00
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
RED Star FC 93Saint Etienne1.3Goals per game2.1
1.5Conceded per game1.0
1.55Points per game2.27
45%Win rate73%
-2Goal difference12
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
RED Star FC 93 form
LLLWWH Nancy1–4
A Montpellier2–1
H Saint Etienne0–1
A Clermont Foot2–3
A Guingamp1–3
Saint Etienne form
LWWWWA Guingamp3–0
H Nantes1–0
A RED Star FC 930–1
H Rodez2–0
H FC Sion5–1
Head to head
1
RED
0
Draw
3
Saint
Oct 2026RED Star FC 93 – Saint Etienne0–1
Mar 2026Saint Etienne – RED Star FC 932–0
Nov 2025RED Star FC 93 – Saint Etienne2–1
Feb 2015RED Star FC 93 – Saint Etienne1–2
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3Nancy11+722
4Reims11+1021
5PAU11+520
6RED Star FC 9311-217
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Saint Etienne slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.35 for RED Star FC 93, 1.89 for Saint Etienne), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
RED Star FC 93 sit 6th on 17 points; Saint Etienne are 1st on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.