Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Red Bull Arena
Red Bull Salzburg
2nd · 24 pts14:30KICK-OFF WAT
Austria Lustenau
10th · 8 pts88% Red
9% Draw
4% Austria
OUR PICK
Red Bull Salzburg to win
Model probability 88% · fair odds
1.14
Expected goals
3.32 – 0.60
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.14X11.66226.94
Goals 2.5Over1.34Under3.63
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
57%
Double chance@1.04
1X
96%
Season stats
Red Bull SalzburgAustria Lustenau2.4Goals per game1.2
0.5Conceded per game2.4
2.40Points per game0.80
70%Win rate20%
19Goal difference-12
11Form, last 5 (pts)3
Red Bull Salzburg form
WWDWLA Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–3
A Lask Linz1–3
A Celje2–2
H SCR Altach3–0
H AC Milan0–4
Austria Lustenau form
WLLLLH Sturm Graz3–2
A Rapid Vienna5–1
H Lask Linz0–4
A TSV Hartberg4–3
H FC Schalke 040–1
Head to head
5
Red
0
Draw
0
Austria
Feb 2024Red Bull Salzburg – Austria Lustenau7–0
Sept 2023Austria Lustenau – Red Bull Salzburg0–4
Feb 2023Red Bull Salzburg – Austria Lustenau4–0
Aug 2022Austria Lustenau – Red Bull Salzburg0–6
May 2020Red Bull Salzburg – Austria Lustenau5–0
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna10+2227
2Red Bull Salzburg10+1924
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz10+618
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau10-128
Match preview
Our model makes Red Bull Salzburg clear favourites, giving them a 88% chance of winning against 9% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (3.32 for Red Bull Salzburg, 0.60 for Austria Lustenau), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Red Bull Salzburg sit 2nd on 24 points; Austria Lustenau are 10th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.