Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 4Saturday, 17 October 2026
Red Arrows
4th · 0 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kabwe Warriors
3rd · 0 pts44% Red
25% Draw
30% Kabwe
OUR PICK
Red Arrows to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Red ArrowsKabwe Warriors0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Red Arrows form
DLWH Chirundu Utd0–0
A Kaizer Chiefs1–0
H Kaizer Chiefs1–0
Kabwe Warriors form
DLWA Green Eagles0–0
H Green Buffaloes1–2
H Mutondo Stars3–2
Head to head
3
Red
1
Draw
1
Kabwe
Apr 2026Red Arrows – Kabwe Warriors3–1
Nov 2025Kabwe Warriors – Red Arrows0–1
Jan 2025Red Arrows – Kabwe Warriors1–1
Oct 2024Kabwe Warriors – Red Arrows0–2
May 2024Kabwe Warriors – Red Arrows1–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Red Arrows slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Red Arrows, 1.21 for Kabwe Warriors), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Red Arrows sit 4th on 0 points; Kabwe Warriors are 3rd on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.