Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Anoeta Stadium
Real Sociedad
5th · 19 pts2–1FULL TIME
Levante
18th · 10 pts53% Real
20% Draw
27% Levante
OUR PICK
Real Sociedad to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.59
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X4.9923.74
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.40NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.40
GG
71%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Real SociedadLevante1.8Goals per game1.5
1.8Conceded per game1.9
1.73Points per game0.91
55%Win rate18%
0Goal difference-5
12Form, last 5 (pts)5
Real Sociedad form
LWWWDA Athletic Club2–1
H Levante2–1
A Lillestrom0–6
A Malaga2–5
A Union St. Gilloise1–1
Levante form
LLWDDH Atletico Madrid0–2
A Real Sociedad2–1
H Athletic Club3–1
A Deportivo La Coruna1–1
H Sevilla3–3
Head to head
3
Real
1
Draw
1
Levante
Oct 2026Real Sociedad – Levante2–1
Apr 2026Real Sociedad – Levante2–0
Dec 2025Levante – Real Sociedad1–1
May 2022Levante – Real Sociedad2–1
Aug 2021Real Sociedad – Levante1–0
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Real Sociedad slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.28 for Real Sociedad, 1.59 for Levante), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Real Sociedad sit 5th on 19 points; Levante are 18th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.