Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 8Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio Zubieta
Real Sociedad II
18th · 11 pts2–3FULL TIME
Granada CF
4th · 23 pts28% Real
25% Draw
47% Granada
OUR PICK
Granada CF to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.61
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.57X4.0522.11
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
55%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Real Sociedad IIGranada CF1.3Goals per game1.7
1.8Conceded per game1.2
0.92Points per game1.92
25%Win rate58%
-7Goal difference6
3Form, last 5 (pts)15
Real Sociedad II form
WLLLLH Girona1–0
A Las Palmas1–0
H Almeria2–4
A Celta de Vigo II4–1
H Granada CF2–3
Granada CF form
WWWWWA Eldense0–2
A Cieza0–3
H Valladolid2–1
H Cadiz2–0
A Burgos0–1
Head to head
0
Real
0
Draw
3
Granada
Oct 2026Real Sociedad II – Granada CF2–3
Mar 2026Real Sociedad II – Granada CF0–2
Oct 2025Granada CF – Real Sociedad II5–2
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Granada CF slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.18 for Real Sociedad II, 1.61 for Granada CF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Real Sociedad II sit 18th on 11 points; Granada CF are 4th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.